Tag Archives: Economics

thealphaswarmer

The Collateral Alibi: Cross-Examining Gold, The Five-Handle, And The Case For Tokenised Metal

A broker’s note says gold has overtaken Treasuries and that its link to real yields is broken. I tested both against primary data. The ECB’s own valuation-adjusted numbers say Treasuries still lead 26% to 16%, and the gold/real-yield correlation was at its tightest right after the Russian asset seizure. What actually changed is the level, not the slope – and that is why tokenised, leased gold matters at a five-handle.

Estimated word count: 3734 words

thealphaswarmer_prophecies

The Prophecy, Continued: The Dollar’s Demise Was Never About the Exchange Rate

Written 17 September 2026 (AEST). This is the continuation I promised in January 2024, when I closed The Demise of the US Dollar — A Prophecy For Its Death! with… Read more »

Estimated word count: 829 words

thealphaswarmer economic models

Hike It Double? The Fed’s Real Decision Might Actually Be About Japan

Hike It Double? The Fed’s Real Decision Might Actually Be About Japan In 2019, Playing With Fire* argued that the economic frameworks we’d inherited were already too blunt for the… Read more »

Estimated word count: 3378 words

Metastasis of Economic Frameworks Augment Systemic Failures – A Prophecy On The Demise of Monetary Policy — thealphaswarmer

Metastasis of Economic Frameworks Augment Systemic Failures – A Prophecy On The Demise of Monetary Policy

(A continuation and re-examination of my earlier work on animal spirits and policy fragility) When I wrote Playing With Fire: Animal Spirits Ensconce Progress and Trepidation in Economies in 2019,… Read more »

Estimated word count: 1494 words

The Demise of America and The Rise of Emerging and Value Laden Network Economies — thealphaswarmer

The Demise of America and The Rise of Emerging and Value Laden Network Economies

I previously wrote about the fallacies of the US dollar and why its death is inevitable to which I received very vocal counter-arguments on Twitter, friends, family members etc about… Read more »

Estimated word count: 1083 words

The Demise of the US Dollar – A Prophecy For Its Death! — thealphaswarmer

The Demise of the US Dollar – A Prophecy For Its Death!

For long, the DXY has pounded fear across financial markets due to its dominance, weighting and influence over risk assets, emerging economics and those countries whom are reliant on the… Read more »

Estimated word count: 502 words

extranets and intranets work together

Intranets & Extranets Disseminate Asymmetries To Drive Knowledge Management – A New Paradigm For The Knowledge & Experience Economy

With the adoption and explosion of social media, unified communication platforms, virtual collaboration technologies and open source software technologies (most of which are free or require a one off donation… Read more »

Estimated word count: 711 words